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UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 24 Oct 2020, 01:00 · completed

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Justin Gaethje

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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10 UFC bouts · last fought 24 Oct 2020

Khabib Nurmagomedov

“The Eagle”
UFC rec10-0-0
Elo1863
Strike acc50%
Strike def65%
TD defence80%
KO · SUB1 · 4
Age32
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinWinWin
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16 UFC bouts · last fought 14 Jun 2026

Justin Gaethje

“The Highlight”
UFC rec11-5-0
Elo1848
Strike acc58%
Strike def51%
TD defence73%
KO · SUB7 · 0
Age31
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinWinWin

Head to head

10-0-0
UFC record (2013 on)
11-5-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
1
Wins by KO/TKO
7
4
Wins by submission
0
1863
Elo rating
1848
50%
Striking accuracy
58%
65%
Striking defence
51%
4.36
Landed per min
6.29
1.81
Absorbed per min
6.83
80%
Takedown defence
73%
6.09
Takedowns per 15
0.30
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
32
Age
31
178 cm
Reach
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.