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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 28 Mar 2026, 00:00 · completed

Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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USAlight weight
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14 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Jul 2026

Terrance McKinney

“T. Wrecks”
UFC rec8-6-0
Elo1562
Strike acc56%
Strike def42%
TD defence73%
KO · SUB5 · 3
Age31
Reach185 cm
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Last 5WinWinLossWinLoss
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light weight
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13 UFC bouts · last fought 17 Oct 2026

Kyle Nelson

“The Monster”
UFC rec5-7-1
Elo1484
Strike acc46%
Strike def54%
TD defence67%
KO · SUB2 · 0
Age34
Reach180 cm
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Last 5WinLossWinLossLoss

Head to head

8-6-0
UFC record (2013 on)
5-7-1
18-9-0
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
5
Wins by KO/TKO
2
3
Wins by submission
0
1562
Elo rating
1484
56%
Striking accuracy
46%
42%
Striking defence
54%
7.95
Landed per min
3.60
4.76
Absorbed per min
4.58
73%
Takedown defence
67%
3.05
Takedowns per 15
1.18
USA
Country
Unavailable
31
Age
34
185 cm
Reach
180 cm
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Stance
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Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.