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UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 7 Jul 2016, 01:00 · completed

Roy Nelson vs Derrick Lewis

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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heavy weight
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11 UFC bouts · last fought 15 Apr 2017

Roy Nelson

“Big Country”
UFC rec4-7-0
Elo1446
Strike acc36%
Strike def44%
TD defence79%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age40
Reach185 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossWinLossWinLoss
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heavy weight
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32 UFC bouts · last fought 14 Jun 2026

Derrick Lewis

“The Black Beast”
UFC rec20-12-0
Elo1630
Strike acc49%
Strike def39%
TD defence52%
KO · SUB16 · 0
Age31
Reach201 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossWinWinLossLoss

Head to head

4-7-0
UFC record (2013 on)
20-12-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
16
0
Wins by submission
0
1446
Elo rating
1630
36%
Striking accuracy
49%
44%
Striking defence
39%
2.02
Landed per min
2.41
4.77
Absorbed per min
2.79
79%
Takedown defence
52%
1.41
Takedowns per 15
0.53
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
40
Age
31
185 cm
Reach
201 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.