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UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 6 Nov 2021, 00:00 · completed

Justin Gaethje vs Michael Chandler

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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light weight
Illustrated avatar
16 UFC bouts · last fought 14 Jun 2026

Justin Gaethje

“The Highlight”
UFC rec11-5-0
Elo1848
Strike acc58%
Strike def51%
TD defence73%
KO · SUB7 · 0
Age32
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinWinWin
blue corner
light weight
Illustrated avatar
8 UFC bouts · last fought 14 Jun 2026

Michael Chandler

“Iron”
UFC rec2-6-0
Elo1523
Strike acc50%
Strike def41%
TD defence56%
KO · SUB2 · 0
Age35
Reach180 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossLossLossLoss

Head to head

11-5-0
UFC record (2013 on)
2-6-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
7
Wins by KO/TKO
2
0
Wins by submission
0
1848
Elo rating
1523
58%
Striking accuracy
50%
51%
Striking defence
41%
6.29
Landed per min
3.85
6.83
Absorbed per min
4.75
73%
Takedown defence
56%
0.30
Takedowns per 15
1.63
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
32
Age
35
178 cm
Reach
180 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.