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19 UFC bouts · last fought 31 Oct 2026
Julian Erosa
“Juicy J”
UFC rec10-9-0
Elo1580
Strike acc48%
Strike def49%
TD defence62%
KO · SUB3 · 4
Age35
Reach188 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinWinLossLossWin
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 17 May 2025, 01:00 · completed
Julian Erosa vs Melquizael Costa
No forecast available for this bout yet.
No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.
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10 UFC bouts · last fought 16 May 2026
Melquizael Costa
“The Dalmatian”
UFC rec7-3-0
Elo1664
Strike acc47%
Strike def50%
TD defence51%
KO · SUB2 · 2
Age28
Reach180 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinWinWinWinLoss
Head to head
10-9-0
UFC record (2013 on)
7-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
26-8-0
3
Wins by KO/TKO
2
4
Wins by submission
2
1580
Elo rating
1664
48%
Striking accuracy
47%
49%
Striking defence
50%
6.06
Landed per min
4.29
6.23
Absorbed per min
3.19
62%
Takedown defence
51%
1.81
Takedowns per 15
1.53
Unavailable
Country
Brazil
35
Age
28
188 cm
Reach
180 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Forecast revisions
None recorded.