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UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 21 Mar 2026, 00:00 · completed

Movsar Evloev vs Lerone Murphy

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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11 UFC bouts · last fought 24 Oct 2026

Movsar Evloev

UFC rec10-1-0
Elo1837
Strike acc48%
Strike def61%
TD defence61%
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age32
Reach183 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinWinLoss
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11 UFC bouts · last fought 21 Mar 2026

Lerone Murphy

“The Miracle”
UFC rec9-1-1
Elo1780
Strike acc51%
Strike def60%
TD defence44%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age34
Reach185 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinWinLoss

Head to head

10-1-0
UFC record (2013 on)
9-1-1
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
0
Wins by KO/TKO
3
0
Wins by submission
0
1837
Elo rating
1780
48%
Striking accuracy
51%
61%
Striking defence
60%
3.91
Landed per min
4.34
2.80
Absorbed per min
2.65
61%
Takedown defence
44%
4.78
Takedowns per 15
1.20
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
32
Age
34
183 cm
Reach
185 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.