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UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 4 Oct 2014, 01:00 · completed

Gunnar Nelson vs Rick Story

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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welter weight
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15 UFC bouts · last fought 22 Mar 2025

Gunnar Nelson

“Gunni”
UFC rec9-6-0
Elo1627
Strike acc61%
Strike def49%
TD defence68%
KO · SUB0 · 7
Age26
Reach183 cm
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Last 5LossLossWinWinLoss
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welter weight
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8 UFC bouts · last fought 20 Aug 2016

Rick Story

“The Horror”
UFC rec5-3-0
Elo1611
Strike acc44%
Strike def56%
TD defence81%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age30
Reach180 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinWinWinLoss

Head to head

9-6-0
UFC record (2013 on)
5-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
0
Wins by KO/TKO
1
7
Wins by submission
1
1627
Elo rating
1611
61%
Striking accuracy
44%
49%
Striking defence
56%
1.75
Landed per min
4.50
3.12
Absorbed per min
2.78
68%
Takedown defence
81%
1.95
Takedowns per 15
1.61
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
26
Age
30
183 cm
Reach
180 cm
Switch
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.