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UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 16 Nov 2024, 00:00 · completed

Marcin Tybura vs Jhonata Diniz

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

red corner
heavy weight
Illustrated avatar
25 UFC bouts · last fought 1 Aug 2026

Marcin Tybura

“Tybur”
UFC rec14-11-0
Elo1570
Strike acc47%
Strike def55%
TD defence71%
KO · SUB5 · 1
Age39
Reach198 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinLossLossLoss
blue corner
heavy weight
Illustrated avatar
6 UFC bouts · last fought 17 Oct 2026

Jhonata Diniz

UFC rec3-3-0
Elo1511
Strike acc59%
Strike def58%
TD defence69%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age33
Reach201 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinLossLoss

Head to head

14-11-0
UFC record (2013 on)
3-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
5
Wins by KO/TKO
1
1
Wins by submission
0
1570
Elo rating
1511
47%
Striking accuracy
59%
55%
Striking defence
58%
3.49
Landed per min
3.67
3.34
Absorbed per min
3.41
71%
Takedown defence
69%
1.23
Takedowns per 15
0.00
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
39
Age
33
198 cm
Reach
201 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.