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UFC Fight Night: Procházka vs. Stirling · 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 · scheduled

Shamil Gaziev vs Tallison Teixeira

Shamil Gaziev 31%69% Tallison Teixeira

Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)

Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 100%

Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
  1. age favours Tallison Teixeira
  2. striking accuracy favours Tallison Teixeira
  3. strikes absorbed favours Tallison Teixeira

Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Head to head

MeasureShamil GazievTallison Teixeira
UFC record since 20134-3-02-2-0
Height (cm)193.04200.66
Reach (cm)198.12210.82
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox

“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.

Forecast revisions

  • first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
  • latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression