red corner
Illustrated avatar
10 UFC bouts · last fought 8 Feb 2025
Justin Tafa
“Bad Man”
UFC rec4-5-0 (1 NC)
Elo1462
Strike acc54%
Strike def47%
TD defence53%
KO · SUB4 · 0
Age25
Reach188 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinNo contestWinLossLoss
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 5 Oct 2019, 01:00 · completed
Justin Tafa vs Yorgan De Castro
No forecast available for this bout yet.
No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.
blue corner
Illustrated avatar
4 UFC bouts · last fought 10 Apr 2021
Yorgan De Castro
“The Mad Titan”
UFC rec1-3-0
Elo1412
Strike acc41%
Strike def54%
TD defence100%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age32
Reach188 cm
Orthodox
Last 4WinLossLossLoss
Head to head
4-5-0
UFC record (2013 on)
1-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
4
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
0
1462
Elo rating
1412
54%
Striking accuracy
41%
47%
Striking defence
54%
4.05
Landed per min
2.22
5.11
Absorbed per min
4.23
53%
Takedown defence
100%
0.00
Takedowns per 15
0.00
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
25
Age
32
188 cm
Reach
188 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Forecast revisions
None recorded.