red corner
Illustrated avatar
10 UFC bouts · last fought 26 Sept 2026
John Castaneda
“Sexi Mexi”
UFC rec4-5-1
Elo1503
Strike acc52%
Strike def55%
TD defence74%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age31
Reach180 cm
Switch
Last 5WinLossLossDrawLoss
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 3 Jun 2023, 01:00 · completed
John Castaneda vs Muin Gafurov
No forecast available for this bout yet.
No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.
blue corner
Illustrated avatar
5 UFC bouts · last fought 7 Feb 2026
Muin Gafurov
“Tajik”
UFC rec2-3-0
Elo1501
Strike acc47%
Strike def59%
TD defence67%
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age27
Reach173 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossWinWinLoss
Head to head
4-5-1
UFC record (2013 on)
2-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
1
Wins by KO/TKO
0
1
Wins by submission
0
1503
Elo rating
1501
52%
Striking accuracy
47%
55%
Striking defence
59%
5.00
Landed per min
3.68
5.07
Absorbed per min
2.35
74%
Takedown defence
67%
1.26
Takedowns per 15
0.74
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
31
Age
27
180 cm
Reach
173 cm
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Forecast revisions
None recorded.