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UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · 14 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled

Uros Medic vs Kevin Holland

Uros Medic 49%51% Kevin Holland

Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)

Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 100%

Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
  1. reach favours Kevin Holland
  2. finishing rate favours Uros Medic
  3. Elo rating gap favours Uros Medic

Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

AI prediction · logistic-regression
Uros Medic 49% · Kevin Holland 51%
Bookmaker consensus · 9 bookmakers
Uros Medic 59% · Kevin Holland 41%
Updated 2 h ago
AI versus market
−9.4 pp for Uros Medic
Percentage points. A disagreement, not a tip.

Bookmakers

Bookmaker ↑Uros MedicKevin HollandUpdated
BetAnything1.622.302 h ago
Betclic (FR)1.582.232 h ago
BetOnline.ag1.622.362 h ago
Betsson1.572.372 h ago
Grosvenor1.492.082 h ago
LiveScore Bet1.622.302 h ago
Nordic Bet1.562.352 h ago
Unibet (UK)1.582.252 h ago
Virgin Bet1.622.302 h ago

Market movement

Not enough history in this range (1 point). History is collected from now on; none is back-filled.

Shows Uros Medic’s consensus probability. First observed price is not the bookmaker’s opening price, and the last captured price is not the official closing price.

Head to head

MeasureUros MedicKevin Holland
UFC record since 20138-3-016-12-0 (1 NC)
Height (cm)185.42190.5
Reach (cm)180.34205.74
StanceSouthpawOrthodox

“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.

Forecast revisions

  • first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
  • latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression