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UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 9 Jul 2016, 01:00 · completed

Gegard Mousasi vs Thiago Santos

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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middle weight
Illustrated avatar
12 UFC bouts · last fought 8 Apr 2017

Gegard Mousasi

UFC rec9-3-0
Elo1701
Strike acc50%
Strike def68%
TD defence74%
KO · SUB5 · 1
Age30
Reach193 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinWinWin
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middle weight
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24 UFC bouts · last fought 6 Aug 2022

Thiago Santos

“Marreta”
UFC rec14-10-0
Elo1594
Strike acc48%
Strike def54%
TD defence66%
KO · SUB11 · 0
Age32
Reach193 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossWinLossLoss

Head to head

9-3-0
UFC record (2013 on)
14-10-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
5
Wins by KO/TKO
11
1
Wins by submission
0
1701
Elo rating
1594
50%
Striking accuracy
48%
68%
Striking defence
54%
3.87
Landed per min
3.72
1.39
Absorbed per min
2.57
74%
Takedown defence
66%
1.12
Takedowns per 15
0.88
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
30
Age
32
193 cm
Reach
193 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.