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UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 11 Nov 2023, 00:00 · completed

Steve Erceg vs Alessandro Costa

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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fly weight
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9 UFC bouts · last fought 25 Jul 2026

Steve Erceg

“Astroboy”
UFC rec5-4-0
Elo1587
Strike acc47%
Strike def56%
TD defence67%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age28
Reach173 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossWinWinLoss
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Brazilfly weight
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8 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Jul 2026

Alessandro Costa

“Nono”
UFC rec5-3-0
Elo1567
Strike acc49%
Strike def54%
TD defence85%
KO · SUB4 · 1
Age27
Reach170 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinWinWin

Head to head

5-4-0
UFC record (2013 on)
5-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
17-5-0
1
Wins by KO/TKO
4
0
Wins by submission
1
1587
Elo rating
1567
47%
Striking accuracy
49%
56%
Striking defence
54%
4.56
Landed per min
3.94
4.14
Absorbed per min
3.81
67%
Takedown defence
85%
1.09
Takedowns per 15
0.85
Unavailable
Country
Brazil
28
Age
27
173 cm
Reach
170 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.