Skip to content

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 3 Aug 2024, 01:00 · completed

Tony Ferguson vs Michael Chiesa

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

red corner
welter weight
Illustrated avatar
20 UFC bouts · last fought 3 Aug 2024

Tony Ferguson

“El Cucuy”
UFC rec12-8-0
Elo1543
Strike acc49%
Strike def53%
TD defence63%
KO · SUB3 · 6
Age40
Reach193 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossLossLossLoss
blue corner
welter weight
Illustrated avatar
21 UFC bouts · last fought 28 Mar 2026

Michael Chiesa

“Maverick”
UFC rec14-7-0
Elo1710
Strike acc40%
Strike def58%
TD defence66%
KO · SUB0 · 8
Age36
Reach191 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinWinWinWin

Head to head

12-8-0
UFC record (2013 on)
14-7-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
0
6
Wins by submission
8
1543
Elo rating
1710
49%
Striking accuracy
40%
53%
Striking defence
58%
5.05
Landed per min
2.00
4.52
Absorbed per min
1.71
63%
Takedown defence
66%
0.26
Takedowns per 15
3.08
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
40
Age
36
193 cm
Reach
191 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.