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UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 23 Jan 2021, 00:00 · completed

Arman Tsarukyan vs Matt Frevola

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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light weight
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13 UFC bouts · last fought 19 Sept 2026

Arman Tsarukyan

“The Batman”
UFC rec11-2-0
Elo1841
Strike acc50%
Strike def55%
TD defence75%
KO · SUB5 · 1
Age24
Reach183 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinWinWin
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light weight
Illustrated avatar
12 UFC bouts · last fought 18 Oct 2025

Matt Frevola

“The SteamRolla”
UFC rec5-6-1
Elo1511
Strike acc40%
Strike def57%
TD defence38%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age30
Reach180 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinLossLossLoss

Head to head

11-2-0
UFC record (2013 on)
5-6-1
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
5
Wins by KO/TKO
3
1
Wins by submission
0
1841
Elo rating
1511
50%
Striking accuracy
40%
55%
Striking defence
57%
3.78
Landed per min
3.38
1.77
Absorbed per min
3.90
75%
Takedown defence
38%
3.25
Takedowns per 15
2.24
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
24
Age
30
183 cm
Reach
180 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.