UFC Fight Night: Procházka vs. Stirling · 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 · scheduled
Dan Hooker vs Brian Ortega
Dan Hooker 59%41% Brian Ortega
Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)
Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 100%
Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
- Elo rating gap favours Brian Ortega
- reach favours Dan Hooker
- strikes absorbed favours Dan Hooker
Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Head to head
| Measure | Dan Hooker | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record since 2013 | 14-11-0 | 8-5-0 (1 NC) |
| Height (cm) | 182.88 | 172.72 |
| Reach (cm) | 190.5 | 175.26 |
| Stance | Switch | Switch |
“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.
Forecast revisions
- first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
- latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression