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Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 13 Sept 2025, 01:00 · completed

Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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Brazilfly weight
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8 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Jul 2026

Alessandro Costa

“Nono”
UFC rec5-3-0
Elo1567
Strike acc49%
Strike def54%
TD defence85%
KO · SUB4 · 1
Age29
Reach170 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinWinWin
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4 UFC bouts · last fought 3 Oct 2026

Alden Coria

“Cobra”
UFC rec3-1-0
Elo1563
Strike acc41%
Strike def68%
TD defence53%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age27
Reach170 cm
Orthodox
Last 4WinWinWinLoss

Head to head

5-3-0
UFC record (2013 on)
3-1-0
17-5-0
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
4
Wins by KO/TKO
1
1
Wins by submission
0
1567
Elo rating
1563
49%
Striking accuracy
41%
54%
Striking defence
68%
3.94
Landed per min
3.84
3.81
Absorbed per min
2.50
85%
Takedown defence
53%
0.85
Takedowns per 15
2.05
Brazil
Country
Unavailable
29
Age
27
170 cm
Reach
170 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.