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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 10 Oct 2026, 01:00 · completed

Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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women's fly weight
Illustrated avatar
4 UFC bouts · last fought 10 Oct 2026

Ernesta Kareckaite

“Heavy-Handed”
UFC rec1-2-1
Elo1451
Strike acc40%
Strike def53%
TD defence82%
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age28
Reach180 cm
Orthodox
Last 4LossWinLossDraw
blue corner
women's fly weight
Illustrated avatar
7 UFC bouts · last fought 10 Oct 2026

Melissa Gatto

UFC rec3-3-1
Elo1508
Strike acc50%
Strike def56%
TD defence61%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age30
Reach175 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossWinLossDraw

Head to head

1-2-1
UFC record (2013 on)
3-3-1
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
0
Wins by KO/TKO
3
0
Wins by submission
0
1451
Elo rating
1508
40%
Striking accuracy
50%
53%
Striking defence
56%
5.02
Landed per min
3.35
4.35
Absorbed per min
2.76
82%
Takedown defence
61%
0.50
Takedowns per 15
1.64
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
28
Age
30
180 cm
Reach
175 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.