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UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 24 Apr 2021, 01:00 · completed

Pat Sabatini vs Tristan Connelly

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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11 UFC bouts · last fought 9 May 2026

Pat Sabatini

UFC rec9-2-0
Elo1741
Strike acc55%
Strike def54%
TD defence50%
KO · SUB0 · 3
Age30
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossWinWinWinWin
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3 UFC bouts · last fought 30 Apr 2022

Tristan Connelly

“Boondock”
UFC rec1-2-0
Elo1483
Strike acc51%
Strike def51%
TD defence60%
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age35
Reach173 cm
Orthodox
Last 3WinLossLoss

Head to head

9-2-0
UFC record (2013 on)
1-2-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
0
Wins by KO/TKO
0
3
Wins by submission
0
1741
Elo rating
1483
55%
Striking accuracy
51%
54%
Striking defence
51%
1.69
Landed per min
3.31
1.16
Absorbed per min
2.96
50%
Takedown defence
60%
4.27
Takedowns per 15
0.33
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
30
Age
35
178 cm
Reach
173 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.