red corner
Illustrated avatar
10 UFC bouts · last fought 20 Aug 2016
Lorenz Larkin
“The Monsoon”
UFC rec5-5-0
Elo1567
Strike acc45%
Strike def63%
TD defence80%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age27
Reach183 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinLossWinWin
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 30 Aug 2014, 01:00 · completed
Lorenz Larkin vs Derek Brunson
No forecast available for this bout yet.
No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.
blue corner
Illustrated avatar
20 UFC bouts · last fought 4 Mar 2023
Derek Brunson
“The One”
UFC rec13-7-0
Elo1683
Strike acc48%
Strike def50%
TD defence84%
KO · SUB7 · 2
Age30
Reach196 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinWinWinLossLoss
Head to head
5-5-0
UFC record (2013 on)
13-7-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
7
0
Wins by submission
2
1567
Elo rating
1683
45%
Striking accuracy
48%
63%
Striking defence
50%
3.61
Landed per min
3.68
2.98
Absorbed per min
3.23
80%
Takedown defence
84%
0.14
Takedowns per 15
2.91
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
27
Age
30
183 cm
Reach
196 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Forecast revisions
None recorded.