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UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 10 Sept 2022, 01:00 · completed

Nate Diaz vs Tony Ferguson

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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10 UFC bouts · last fought 10 Sept 2022

Nate Diaz

UFC rec5-5-0
Elo1599
Strike acc47%
Strike def49%
TD defence35%
KO · SUB1 · 2
Age37
Reach193 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinLossLossWin
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20 UFC bouts · last fought 3 Aug 2024

Tony Ferguson

“El Cucuy”
UFC rec12-8-0
Elo1543
Strike acc49%
Strike def53%
TD defence63%
KO · SUB3 · 6
Age38
Reach193 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossLossLossLoss

Head to head

5-5-0
UFC record (2013 on)
12-8-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
1
Wins by KO/TKO
3
2
Wins by submission
6
1599
Elo rating
1543
47%
Striking accuracy
49%
49%
Striking defence
53%
5.37
Landed per min
5.05
5.28
Absorbed per min
4.52
35%
Takedown defence
63%
0.40
Takedowns per 15
0.26
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
37
Age
38
193 cm
Reach
193 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.