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UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2 Oct 2021, 01:00 · completed

Alexander Hernandez vs Mike Breeden

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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19 UFC bouts · last fought 3 Oct 2026

Alexander Hernandez

“El Gran Chango”
UFC rec11-8-0
Elo1646
Strike acc41%
Strike def60%
TD defence69%
KO · SUB6 · 0
Age29
Reach183 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossWin
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4 UFC bouts · last fought 21 Oct 2023

Mike Breeden

“Money”
UFC rec1-3-0
Elo1431
Strike acc50%
Strike def41%
TD defence64%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age32
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 4LossLossLossWin

Head to head

11-8-0
UFC record (2013 on)
1-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
6
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
0
1646
Elo rating
1431
41%
Striking accuracy
50%
60%
Striking defence
41%
4.24
Landed per min
6.60
4.40
Absorbed per min
7.97
69%
Takedown defence
64%
1.00
Takedowns per 15
1.46
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
29
Age
32
183 cm
Reach
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.