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UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · 7 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled

Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Johnny Walker

Waldo Cortes Acosta 54%46% Johnny Walker

Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)

Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 100%

Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
  1. durability favours Waldo Cortes Acosta
  2. knockdowns taken favours Waldo Cortes Acosta
  3. striking defence favours Waldo Cortes Acosta

Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

AI prediction · logistic-regression
Waldo Cortes Acosta 54% · Johnny Walker 46%
Bookmaker consensus · 14 bookmakers
Waldo Cortes Acosta 64% · Johnny Walker 36%
Updated 78 min ago
AI versus market
−9.9 pp for Waldo Cortes Acosta
Percentage points. A disagreement, not a tip.

Bookmakers

Bookmaker ↑Waldo Cortes AcostaJohnny WalkerUpdated
BetAnything1.512.6679 min ago
Betclic (FR)1.462.5379 min ago
BetOnline.ag1.512.6678 min ago
Betsson1.502.5578 min ago
Betway1.502.6278 min ago
Coolbet1.432.9378 min ago
Grosvenor1.362.3878 min ago
LiveScore Bet1.462.6078 min ago
Nordic Bet1.522.6078 min ago
Pinnacle1.432.9478 min ago
Unibet (FR)1.322.2078 min ago
Unibet (UK)1.482.5578 min ago
Virgin Bet1.462.6078 min ago
Winamax (FR)1.432.4079 min ago

Market movement

Not enough history in this range (1 point). History is collected from now on; none is back-filled.

Shows Waldo Cortes Acosta’s consensus probability. First observed price is not the bookmaker’s opening price, and the last captured price is not the official closing price.

Head to head

MeasureWaldo Cortes AcostaJohnny Walker
UFC record since 201310-4-09-7-0 (1 NC)
Height (cm)193.04198.12
Reach (cm)198.12208.28
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox

“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.

Forecast revisions

  • first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
  • latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression