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UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 9 May 2020, 01:00 · completed

Greg Hardy vs Yorgan De Castro

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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heavy weight
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10 UFC bouts · last fought 5 Mar 2022

Greg Hardy

“Prince of War”
UFC rec4-5-0 (1 NC)
Elo1475
Strike acc50%
Strike def55%
TD defence64%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age31
Reach203 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinLossLossLoss
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heavy weight
Illustrated avatar
4 UFC bouts · last fought 10 Apr 2021

Yorgan De Castro

“The Mad Titan”
UFC rec1-3-0
Elo1412
Strike acc41%
Strike def54%
TD defence100%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age33
Reach188 cm
Orthodox
Last 4WinLossLossLoss

Head to head

4-5-0
UFC record (2013 on)
1-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
0
1475
Elo rating
1412
50%
Striking accuracy
41%
55%
Striking defence
54%
4.60
Landed per min
2.22
3.29
Absorbed per min
4.23
64%
Takedown defence
100%
0.20
Takedowns per 15
0.00
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
31
Age
33
203 cm
Reach
188 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.