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UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 5 Oct 2024, 01:00 · completed

Jose Aldo vs Mario Bautista

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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19 UFC bouts · last fought 10 May 2025

Jose Aldo

UFC rec10-9-0
Elo1652
Strike acc47%
Strike def56%
TD defence93%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age38
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinLossLoss
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15 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Jul 2026

Mario Bautista

UFC rec12-3-0
Elo1788
Strike acc50%
Strike def54%
TD defence57%
KO · SUB1 · 4
Age31
Reach175 cm
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Last 5WinWinLossWinWin

Head to head

10-9-0
UFC record (2013 on)
12-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
4
1652
Elo rating
1788
47%
Striking accuracy
50%
56%
Striking defence
54%
3.74
Landed per min
5.52
4.72
Absorbed per min
4.17
93%
Takedown defence
57%
0.40
Takedowns per 15
2.49
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
38
Age
31
178 cm
Reach
175 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Switch

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.