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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 24 Jan 2026, 00:00 · completed

Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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16 UFC bouts · last fought 14 Jun 2026

Justin Gaethje

“The Highlight”
UFC rec11-5-0
Elo1848
Strike acc58%
Strike def51%
TD defence73%
KO · SUB7 · 0
Age37
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinWinWin
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light weight
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9 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Jul 2026

Paddy Pimblett

“The Baddy”
UFC rec8-1-0
Elo1759
Strike acc53%
Strike def43%
TD defence46%
KO · SUB2 · 4
Age31
Reach185 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossWin

Head to head

11-5-0
UFC record (2013 on)
8-1-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
7
Wins by KO/TKO
2
0
Wins by submission
4
1848
Elo rating
1759
58%
Striking accuracy
53%
51%
Striking defence
43%
6.29
Landed per min
5.48
6.83
Absorbed per min
3.86
73%
Takedown defence
46%
0.30
Takedowns per 15
0.68
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
37
Age
31
178 cm
Reach
185 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.