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UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 19 Mar 2016, 00:00 · completed

Jake Matthews vs Johnny Case

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

red corner
Australialight weight
Photo of Jake Matthews
Photo: Realistkilla · CC0
24 UFC bouts · last fought 30 May 2026

Jake Matthews

“The Celtic Kid”
UFC rec16-8-0
Elo1679
Strike acc44%
Strike def61%
TD defence67%
KO · SUB2 · 6
Age21
Reach185 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossWin
blue corner
light weight
Illustrated avatar
6 UFC bouts · last fought 25 Jun 2017

Johnny Case

“Hollywood”
UFC rec4-2-0
Elo1570
Strike acc39%
Strike def61%
TD defence73%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age26
Reach183 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossLoss

Head to head

16-8-0
UFC record (2013 on)
4-2-0
23-8-0
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
2
Wins by KO/TKO
1
6
Wins by submission
1
1679
Elo rating
1570
44%
Striking accuracy
39%
61%
Striking defence
61%
3.36
Landed per min
3.95
2.58
Absorbed per min
2.66
67%
Takedown defence
73%
1.36
Takedowns per 15
1.70
Australia
Country
Unavailable
21
Age
26
185 cm
Reach
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.