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UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 17 Aug 2024, 01:00 · completed

Tom Nolan vs Alex Reyes

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

red corner
light weight
Illustrated avatar
7 UFC bouts · last fought 31 Oct 2026

Tom Nolan

“Big Train”
UFC rec6-1-0
Elo1690
Strike acc45%
Strike def48%
TD defence58%
KO · SUB2 · 1
Age24
Reach185 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinWinWinWinWin
blue corner
light weight
Illustrated avatar
3 UFC bouts · last fought 17 Aug 2024

Alex Reyes

“The Executioner”
UFC rec0-3-0
Elo1378
Strike acc47%
Strike def48%
TD defence—
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age37
Reach185 cm
Orthodox
Last 3LossLossLoss

Head to head

6-1-0
UFC record (2013 on)
0-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
2
Wins by KO/TKO
0
1
Wins by submission
0
1690
Elo rating
1378
45%
Striking accuracy
47%
48%
Striking defence
48%
4.72
Landed per min
4.46
3.80
Absorbed per min
6.92
58%
Takedown defence
Unavailable
1.11
Takedowns per 15
1.50
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
24
Age
37
185 cm
Reach
185 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.