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UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 20 Aug 2022, 01:00 · completed

Jose Aldo vs Merab Dvalishvili

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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19 UFC bouts · last fought 10 May 2025

Jose Aldo

UFC rec10-9-0
Elo1652
Strike acc47%
Strike def56%
TD defence93%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age35
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinLossLoss
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bantam weight
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18 UFC bouts · last fought 24 Oct 2026

Merab Dvalishvili

“The Machine”
UFC rec14-4-0
Elo1830
Strike acc42%
Strike def54%
TD defence76%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age31
Reach173 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossLoss

Head to head

10-9-0
UFC record (2013 on)
14-4-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
1
1652
Elo rating
1830
47%
Striking accuracy
42%
56%
Striking defence
54%
3.74
Landed per min
4.42
4.72
Absorbed per min
2.80
93%
Takedown defence
76%
0.40
Takedowns per 15
5.97
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
35
Age
31
178 cm
Reach
173 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.