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UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 16 Dec 2023, 00:00 · completed

Andre Fili vs Lucas Almeida

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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28 UFC bouts · last fought 10 Oct 2026

Andre Fili

“Touchy”
UFC rec14-13-0 (1 NC)
Elo1553
Strike acc38%
Strike def50%
TD defence72%
KO · SUB5 · 0
Age33
Reach188 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossWinLossLossWin
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6 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Oct 2025

Lucas Almeida

UFC rec2-4-0
Elo1450
Strike acc38%
Strike def43%
TD defence55%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age32
Reach180 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossWinLossLoss

Head to head

14-13-0
UFC record (2013 on)
2-4-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
5
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
0
1553
Elo rating
1450
38%
Striking accuracy
38%
50%
Striking defence
43%
3.99
Landed per min
4.53
4.58
Absorbed per min
4.70
72%
Takedown defence
55%
2.19
Takedowns per 15
0.00
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
33
Age
32
188 cm
Reach
180 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.