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UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 15 Apr 2017, 01:00 · completed

Louis Smolka vs Tim Elliott

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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fly weight
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17 UFC bouts · last fought 14 May 2022

Louis Smolka

“Da Last Samurai”
UFC rec8-9-0
Elo1460
Strike acc47%
Strike def54%
TD defence32%
KO · SUB4 · 2
Age25
Reach173 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinLossLoss
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fly weight
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21 UFC bouts · last fought 12 Sept 2026

Tim Elliott

UFC rec10-11-0
Elo1590
Strike acc43%
Strike def54%
TD defence59%
KO · SUB0 · 3
Age30
Reach168 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinWinLossWin

Head to head

8-9-0
UFC record (2013 on)
10-11-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
4
Wins by KO/TKO
0
2
Wins by submission
3
1460
Elo rating
1590
47%
Striking accuracy
43%
54%
Striking defence
54%
4.67
Landed per min
3.52
4.11
Absorbed per min
2.95
32%
Takedown defence
59%
1.69
Takedowns per 15
3.71
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
25
Age
30
173 cm
Reach
168 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.