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UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 16 Dec 2023, 00:00 · completed

Tony Ferguson vs Paddy Pimblett

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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20 UFC bouts · last fought 3 Aug 2024

Tony Ferguson

“El Cucuy”
UFC rec12-8-0
Elo1543
Strike acc49%
Strike def53%
TD defence63%
KO · SUB3 · 6
Age39
Reach193 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossLossLossLoss
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9 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Jul 2026

Paddy Pimblett

“The Baddy”
UFC rec8-1-0
Elo1759
Strike acc53%
Strike def43%
TD defence46%
KO · SUB2 · 4
Age28
Reach185 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossWin

Head to head

12-8-0
UFC record (2013 on)
8-1-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
2
6
Wins by submission
4
1543
Elo rating
1759
49%
Striking accuracy
53%
53%
Striking defence
43%
5.05
Landed per min
5.48
4.52
Absorbed per min
3.86
63%
Takedown defence
46%
0.26
Takedowns per 15
0.68
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
39
Age
28
193 cm
Reach
185 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.