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UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 8 Mar 2025, 00:00 · completed

Alex Morono vs Carlos Leal

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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welter weight
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24 UFC bouts · last fought 7 Feb 2026

Alex Morono

“The Great White”
UFC rec13-10-0 (1 NC)
Elo1500
Strike acc40%
Strike def55%
TD defence48%
KO · SUB2 · 2
Age34
Reach183 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossLossLossLoss
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4 UFC bouts · last fought 21 Feb 2026

Carlos Leal

“The Lion”
UFC rec2-2-0
Elo1551
Strike acc47%
Strike def49%
TD defence91%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age30
Reach188 cm
Orthodox
Last 4LossWinLossWin

Head to head

13-10-0
UFC record (2013 on)
2-2-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
2
Wins by KO/TKO
1
2
Wins by submission
0
1500
Elo rating
1551
40%
Striking accuracy
47%
55%
Striking defence
49%
4.90
Landed per min
8.75
4.88
Absorbed per min
7.78
48%
Takedown defence
91%
0.32
Takedowns per 15
0.43
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
34
Age
30
183 cm
Reach
188 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.