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UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 4 May 2024, 01:00 · completed

Alessandro Costa vs Kevin Borjas

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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Brazilfly weight
Illustrated avatar
8 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Jul 2026

Alessandro Costa

“Nono”
UFC rec5-3-0
Elo1567
Strike acc49%
Strike def54%
TD defence85%
KO · SUB4 · 1
Age28
Reach170 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinWinWin
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fly weight
Illustrated avatar
7 UFC bouts · last fought 29 Aug 2026

Kevin Borjas

“El Gallo Negro”
UFC rec2-5-0
Elo1430
Strike acc42%
Strike def49%
TD defence76%
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age26
Reach173 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossLossWinLoss

Head to head

5-3-0
UFC record (2013 on)
2-5-0
17-5-0
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
4
Wins by KO/TKO
0
1
Wins by submission
0
1567
Elo rating
1430
49%
Striking accuracy
42%
54%
Striking defence
49%
3.94
Landed per min
3.31
3.81
Absorbed per min
5.93
85%
Takedown defence
76%
0.85
Takedowns per 15
0.00
Brazil
Country
Unavailable
28
Age
26
170 cm
Reach
173 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.