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UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 11 Apr 2026, 01:00 · completed

Chris Padilla vs MarQuel Mederos

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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light weight
Illustrated avatar
6 UFC bouts · last fought 22 Aug 2026

Chris Padilla

“Taco”
UFC rec5-0-1
Elo1695
Strike acc54%
Strike def51%
TD defence83%
KO · SUB2 · 2
Age30
Reach188 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinDrawWin
blue corner
light weight
Illustrated avatar
5 UFC bouts · last fought 22 Aug 2026

MarQuel Mederos

UFC rec4-0-1
Elo1656
Strike acc60%
Strike def52%
TD defence75%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age29
Reach175 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinDrawWin

Head to head

5-0-1
UFC record (2013 on)
4-0-1
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
2
Wins by KO/TKO
1
2
Wins by submission
0
1695
Elo rating
1656
54%
Striking accuracy
60%
51%
Striking defence
52%
6.67
Landed per min
5.94
4.85
Absorbed per min
5.41
83%
Takedown defence
75%
1.10
Takedowns per 15
0.22
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
30
Age
29
188 cm
Reach
175 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.