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UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 11 May 2024, 01:00 · completed

Derrick Lewis vs Rodrigo Nascimento

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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heavy weight
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32 UFC bouts · last fought 14 Jun 2026

Derrick Lewis

“The Black Beast”
UFC rec20-12-0
Elo1630
Strike acc49%
Strike def39%
TD defence52%
KO · SUB16 · 0
Age39
Reach201 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossWinWinLossLoss
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heavy weight
Illustrated avatar
8 UFC bouts · last fought 2 Nov 2024

Rodrigo Nascimento

“Ze Colmeia”
UFC rec4-3-0 (1 NC)
Elo1558
Strike acc47%
Strike def45%
TD defence59%
KO · SUB0 · 1
Age31
Reach203 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossLoss

Head to head

20-12-0
UFC record (2013 on)
4-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
16
Wins by KO/TKO
0
0
Wins by submission
1
1630
Elo rating
1558
49%
Striking accuracy
47%
39%
Striking defence
45%
2.41
Landed per min
3.69
2.79
Absorbed per min
4.42
52%
Takedown defence
59%
0.53
Takedowns per 15
1.06
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
39
Age
31
201 cm
Reach
203 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.