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UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 5 Oct 2024, 01:00 · completed

Stephen Thompson vs Joaquin Buckley

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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USAwelter weight
Photo of Stephen Thompson
Photo: Cpl. Devin Nichols · Public domain
20 UFC bouts · last fought 12 Jul 2025

Stephen Thompson

“Wonderboy”
UFC rec11-8-1
Elo1607
Strike acc46%
Strike def55%
TD defence64%
KO · SUB5 · 0
Age41
Reach191 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossWinLossLossLoss
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welter weight
Illustrated avatar
18 UFC bouts · last fought 17 Oct 2026

Joaquin Buckley

“New Mansa”
UFC rec11-7-0
Elo1676
Strike acc36%
Strike def59%
TD defence70%
KO · SUB8 · 0
Age30
Reach193 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinWinLossLossLoss

Head to head

11-8-1
UFC record (2013 on)
11-7-0
17-9-1
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
5
Wins by KO/TKO
8
0
Wins by submission
0
1607
Elo rating
1676
46%
Striking accuracy
36%
55%
Striking defence
59%
4.01
Landed per min
3.62
3.05
Absorbed per min
3.10
64%
Takedown defence
70%
0.25
Takedowns per 15
1.43
USA
Country
Unavailable
41
Age
30
191 cm
Reach
193 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.