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UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 11 Jul 2015, 01:00 · completed

Gunnar Nelson vs Brandon Thatch

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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15 UFC bouts · last fought 22 Mar 2025

Gunnar Nelson

“Gunni”
UFC rec9-6-0
Elo1627
Strike acc61%
Strike def49%
TD defence68%
KO · SUB0 · 7
Age26
Reach183 cm
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Last 5LossLossWinWinLoss
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6 UFC bouts · last fought 30 Dec 2016

Brandon Thatch

“Rukus”
UFC rec2-4-0
Elo1440
Strike acc43%
Strike def53%
TD defence50%
KO · SUB2 · 0
Age30
Reach188 cm
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Last 5WinLossLossLossLoss

Head to head

9-6-0
UFC record (2013 on)
2-4-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
0
Wins by KO/TKO
2
7
Wins by submission
0
1627
Elo rating
1440
61%
Striking accuracy
43%
49%
Striking defence
53%
1.75
Landed per min
2.70
3.12
Absorbed per min
3.63
68%
Takedown defence
50%
1.95
Takedowns per 15
1.36
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
26
Age
30
183 cm
Reach
188 cm
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Stance
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Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.