red corner
Illustrated avatar
16 UFC bouts · last fought 27 Jun 2026
Michel Pereira
“Demolidor”
UFC rec10-6-0
Elo1601
Strike acc51%
Strike def51%
TD defence76%
KO · SUB2 · 3
Age25
Reach185 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossLossWinLoss
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 14 Sept 2019, 01:00 · completed
Michel Pereira vs Tristan Connelly
No forecast available for this bout yet.
No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.
blue corner
Illustrated avatar
3 UFC bouts · last fought 30 Apr 2022
Tristan Connelly
“Boondock”
UFC rec1-2-0
Elo1483
Strike acc51%
Strike def51%
TD defence60%
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age33
Reach173 cm
Orthodox
Last 3WinLossLoss
Head to head
10-6-0
UFC record (2013 on)
1-2-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
2
Wins by KO/TKO
0
3
Wins by submission
0
1601
Elo rating
1483
51%
Striking accuracy
51%
51%
Striking defence
51%
4.28
Landed per min
3.31
4.32
Absorbed per min
2.96
76%
Takedown defence
60%
1.11
Takedowns per 15
0.33
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
25
Age
33
185 cm
Reach
173 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Forecast revisions
None recorded.