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UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 13 Apr 2019, 01:00 · completed

Kelvin Gastelum vs Israel Adesanya

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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middle weight
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26 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Apr 2026

Kelvin Gastelum

UFC rec14-11-0 (1 NC)
Elo1594
Strike acc42%
Strike def57%
TD defence60%
KO · SUB3 · 2
Age27
Reach180 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinLossWinLoss
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middle weight
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19 UFC bouts · last fought 28 Mar 2026

Israel Adesanya

“The Last Stylebender”
UFC rec13-6-0
Elo1698
Strike acc48%
Strike def56%
TD defence76%
KO · SUB5 · 0
Age29
Reach203 cm
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Last 5WinLossLossLossLoss

Head to head

14-11-0
UFC record (2013 on)
13-6-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
5
2
Wins by submission
0
1594
Elo rating
1698
42%
Striking accuracy
48%
57%
Striking defence
56%
3.65
Landed per min
4.03
3.52
Absorbed per min
3.22
60%
Takedown defence
76%
1.04
Takedowns per 15
0.05
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
27
Age
29
180 cm
Reach
203 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Switch

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.