UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · 14 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled
Adrian Yanez vs Juan Diaz
Adrian Yanez 42%58% Juan Diaz
Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)
Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 90%
⚠ Limited evidence: at least one fighter has fewer than 3 prior UFC bouts in the data, so this forecast is less reliable.
Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
- takedown volume favours Juan Diaz
- age favours Juan Diaz
- strikes absorbed favours Juan Diaz
Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Head to head
| Measure | Adrian Yanez | Juan Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record since 2013 | 7-3-1 | 1-0-0 |
| Height (cm) | 170.18 | 172.72 |
| Reach (cm) | 177.8 | 175.26 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.
Forecast revisions
- first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
- latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression