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UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 30 Mar 2019, 00:00 · completed

Edson Barboza vs Justin Gaethje

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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27 UFC bouts · last fought 15 Aug 2026

Edson Barboza

“Junior”
UFC rec13-14-0
Elo1538
Strike acc46%
Strike def54%
TD defence73%
KO · SUB6 · 0
Age33
Reach191 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossLossLossLoss
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light weight
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16 UFC bouts · last fought 14 Jun 2026

Justin Gaethje

“The Highlight”
UFC rec11-5-0
Elo1848
Strike acc58%
Strike def51%
TD defence73%
KO · SUB7 · 0
Age30
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinWinWin

Head to head

13-14-0
UFC record (2013 on)
11-5-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
6
Wins by KO/TKO
7
0
Wins by submission
0
1538
Elo rating
1848
46%
Striking accuracy
58%
54%
Striking defence
51%
4.19
Landed per min
6.29
4.99
Absorbed per min
6.83
73%
Takedown defence
73%
0.32
Takedowns per 15
0.30
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
33
Age
30
191 cm
Reach
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.