red corner
Illustrated avatar
3 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Jul 2026
Luke Riley
UFC rec3-0-0
Elo1634
Strike acc59%
Strike def61%
TD defence38%
KO · SUB2 · 0
Age26
Reach175 cm
Orthodox
Last 3WinWinWin
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 21 Mar 2026, 00:00 · completed
Luke Riley vs Michael Aswell Jr.
No forecast available for this bout yet.
No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.
blue corner
Illustrated avatar
5 UFC bouts · last fought 19 Sept 2026
Michael Aswell Jr.
“The Texas Kid”
UFC rec2-3-0
Elo1471
Strike acc41%
Strike def54%
TD defence67%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age25
Reach175 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossWinLossLossWin
Head to head
3-0-0
UFC record (2013 on)
2-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
2
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
0
1634
Elo rating
1471
59%
Striking accuracy
41%
61%
Striking defence
54%
6.67
Landed per min
6.22
3.86
Absorbed per min
6.13
38%
Takedown defence
67%
0.00
Takedowns per 15
0.24
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
26
Age
25
175 cm
Reach
175 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Forecast revisions
None recorded.