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UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 9 May 2020, 01:00 · completed

Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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20 UFC bouts · last fought 3 Aug 2024

Tony Ferguson

“El Cucuy”
UFC rec12-8-0
Elo1543
Strike acc49%
Strike def53%
TD defence63%
KO · SUB3 · 6
Age36
Reach193 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossLossLossLoss
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16 UFC bouts · last fought 14 Jun 2026

Justin Gaethje

“The Highlight”
UFC rec11-5-0
Elo1848
Strike acc58%
Strike def51%
TD defence73%
KO · SUB7 · 0
Age31
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinWinWin

Head to head

12-8-0
UFC record (2013 on)
11-5-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
7
6
Wins by submission
0
1543
Elo rating
1848
49%
Striking accuracy
58%
53%
Striking defence
51%
5.05
Landed per min
6.29
4.52
Absorbed per min
6.83
63%
Takedown defence
73%
0.26
Takedowns per 15
0.30
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
36
Age
31
193 cm
Reach
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.