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27 UFC bouts · last fought 7 Mar 2026
Drew Dober
UFC rec15-11-0 (1 NC)
Elo1605
Strike acc41%
Strike def53%
TD defence58%
KO · SUB11 · 1
Age33
Reach178 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossLossLossWinWin
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 30 Jul 2022, 01:00 · completed
Drew Dober vs Rafael Alves
No forecast available for this bout yet.
No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.
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4 UFC bouts · last fought 25 Feb 2023
Rafael Alves
“The Turn”
UFC rec1-3-0
Elo1448
Strike acc50%
Strike def58%
TD defence38%
KO · SUB0 · 1
Age31
Reach173 cm
Orthodox
Last 4LossWinLossLoss
Head to head
15-11-0
UFC record (2013 on)
1-3-0
29-15-0
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
11
Wins by KO/TKO
0
1
Wins by submission
1
1605
Elo rating
1448
41%
Striking accuracy
50%
53%
Striking defence
58%
4.48
Landed per min
1.82
4.33
Absorbed per min
3.23
58%
Takedown defence
38%
0.61
Takedowns per 15
0.35
USA
Country
Unavailable
33
Age
31
178 cm
Reach
173 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Forecast revisions
None recorded.