red corner
Illustrated avatar
20 UFC bouts · last fought 15 Nov 2025
Leon Edwards
“Rocky”
UFC rec14-5-0 (1 NC)
Elo1787
Strike acc54%
Strike def53%
TD defence64%
KO · SUB3 · 1
Age32
Reach188 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinWinLossLossLoss
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 16 Dec 2023, 00:00 · completed
Leon Edwards vs Colby Covington
No forecast available for this bout yet.
No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.
blue corner
Illustrated avatar
17 UFC bouts · last fought 14 Dec 2024
Colby Covington
“Chaos”
UFC rec12-5-0
Elo1741
Strike acc38%
Strike def55%
TD defence69%
KO · SUB3 · 2
Age35
Reach183 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinLossLoss
Head to head
14-5-0
UFC record (2013 on)
12-5-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
3
1
Wins by submission
2
1787
Elo rating
1741
54%
Striking accuracy
38%
53%
Striking defence
55%
2.60
Landed per min
3.81
2.44
Absorbed per min
3.09
64%
Takedown defence
69%
1.25
Takedowns per 15
3.64
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
32
Age
35
188 cm
Reach
183 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Forecast revisions
None recorded.