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UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 20 Aug 2016, 01:00 · completed

Nate Diaz vs Conor McGregor

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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welter weight
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10 UFC bouts · last fought 10 Sept 2022

Nate Diaz

UFC rec5-5-0
Elo1599
Strike acc47%
Strike def49%
TD defence35%
KO · SUB1 · 2
Age31
Reach193 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinLossLossWin
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15 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Jul 2026

Conor McGregor

“The Notorious”
UFC rec10-5-0
Elo1666
Strike acc50%
Strike def54%
TD defence67%
KO · SUB8 · 0
Age28
Reach188 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinLossLossLoss

Head to head

5-5-0
UFC record (2013 on)
10-5-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
1
Wins by KO/TKO
8
2
Wins by submission
0
1599
Elo rating
1666
47%
Striking accuracy
50%
49%
Striking defence
54%
5.37
Landed per min
5.27
5.28
Absorbed per min
4.71
35%
Takedown defence
67%
0.40
Takedowns per 15
0.66
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
31
Age
28
193 cm
Reach
188 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.