UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · 14 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled
Nazim Sadykhov vs Jefferson Nascimento
Nazim Sadykhov 48%52% Jefferson Nascimento
Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)
Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 90%
⚠ Limited evidence: at least one fighter has fewer than 3 prior UFC bouts in the data, so this forecast is less reliable.
Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
- Elo rating gap favours Nazim Sadykhov
- age favours Jefferson Nascimento
- strikes absorbed favours Jefferson Nascimento
Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Head to head
| Measure | Nazim Sadykhov | Jefferson Nascimento |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record since 2013 | 4-2-1 | 0-1-0 |
| Height (cm) | 177.8 | 172.72 |
| Reach (cm) | 175.26 | 177.8 |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.
Forecast revisions
- first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
- latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression