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UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2 Dec 2017, 00:00 · completed

Eddie Alvarez vs Justin Gaethje

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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8 UFC bouts · last fought 28 Jul 2018

Eddie Alvarez

UFC rec4-3-0 (1 NC)
Elo1601
Strike acc41%
Strike def54%
TD defence100%
KO · SUB2 · 0
Age33
Reach175 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossNo contestWinLoss
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16 UFC bouts · last fought 14 Jun 2026

Justin Gaethje

“The Highlight”
UFC rec11-5-0
Elo1848
Strike acc58%
Strike def51%
TD defence73%
KO · SUB7 · 0
Age29
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinWinWin

Head to head

4-3-0
UFC record (2013 on)
11-5-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
2
Wins by KO/TKO
7
0
Wins by submission
0
1601
Elo rating
1848
41%
Striking accuracy
58%
54%
Striking defence
51%
4.50
Landed per min
6.29
5.33
Absorbed per min
6.83
100%
Takedown defence
73%
2.02
Takedowns per 15
0.30
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
33
Age
29
175 cm
Reach
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.